AFRICA - Covid-19 Having Less Impact

Arno Froese

There has been an increase in Covid-19 deaths across Africa since mid-July 2021. But the impact of the pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa remains markedly lower compared to the Americas, Europe, and Asia.

In a recent paper our team of public health researchers, led by health analyst Janica Adams, examined possible explanations by reviewing the scientific literature. The aim was to help guide public health decision making to contain Covid-19.

Age has been observed as a significant risk factor for severe Covid-19 illness. Most deaths occur in those aged 65 or older. The median age in North and South America, Europe, and Asia ranges from 32 to 42.5 years. The age demographic structure of sub-Saharan Africa is much younger—the median age is 18.

Most elderly people in sub-Saharan Africa don’t live in long-term care facilities. These facilities pose significant risks for infectious diseases. Covid-19 has substantially affected those living in long-term care facilities. During the first wave of the pandemic, about 81% of deaths in Canada occurred in those facilities.

The rapid response of several African governments and health organizations may have played a significant role. At the beginning of the pandemic, several measures were taken: screening, establishment of the Africa Task Force for Novel Coronavirus, suspension of flights from China, and closure of borders in 40 African nations. New programs also promote sharing of Covid-19 information across sub-Saharan Africa.

But stringent lockdowns have taken a serious economic and societal toll across sub-Saharan Africa. Lockdowns resulted in increased food insecurity, teenage pregnancy, gender-based violence, and disruptions in treatment of malaria, TB and HIV. Africa’s 54 nations are not all the same, and local responses should be tailored to the health, social, and economic realities in specific countries., 23 August 2021

Arno's Commentary

The jury is still out when it comes to identifying reasons why some countries have experienced catastrophic damage while others—in this case, mostly non-industrialized, poorer countries—have been largely spared.

Age is definitely a contributing factor, as the article states. Yet, population density and the availability of healthcare usually plays a larger part when it comes to the spread of pandemics. Quite apparently, Covid-19 is different, unique, and is revealed unexpectedly. 

The following are comparisons of registered deaths due to Covid-19 per 1 million population as of 30 August 2021:
USA 1,933
Israel 714

The numbers go down drastically when it comes to Africa:
Egypt 166
Algeria    20
Liberia    49
Nigeria    12

Of great interest is the fact that the so-called Christianized countries have taken the brunt of the pandemic, while most of these Muslim countries are barely affected in comparison.

While we do not have the answer, we do know that the God of creation is in absolute control. It is He who permits the enemy, the god of this world, to prepare the world for unity. Why? Because Satan’s superman, the Antichrist, will be given power to subdue planet earth, making peace, prosperity, and security a reality, albeit temporarily. 

Let us continually pray for the Church, His body globally, so our unity will be deepened. The Church is coming closer day by day to its goal: being formed in the image of the Lord Jesus Christ.

Arno Froese is the executive director of Midnight Call Ministries and editor-in-chief of the acclaimed prophetic magazines Midnight Call and News From Israel. He has authored a number of well-received books, and has sponsored many prophecy conferences in the U.S., Canada, and Israel. His extensive travels have contributed to his keen insight into Bible prophecy, as he sees it from an international perspective.

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