CHINA - 400 Million Less People by 2100

Arno Froese

China’s population is expected to decline by 374 million to slightly more than 1 billion people by 2100, down from more than 1.4 billion in 2020, Pew reported. Global population growth is expected to stall by the end of the century.

“By 2100, the world’s population is projected to reach approximately 10.9 billion, with annual growth of less than 0.1%—a steep decline from current levels,” Pew researchers wrote, saying the decline is “due in large part to falling global fertility rates.”

“Between 1950 and today, the world’s population grew between 1% and 2% each year, with the number of people rising from 2.5 billion to more than 7.7 billion,” Pew researchers added.

Population projections show China losing its spot as the world’s most populous country to India in 2100. Likewise, the U.S. is expected to lose its number three spot to Nigeria, which is expected to have 733 million people by 2100.

However, predictions of ecological calamity, along with mass famine, due to overpopulation have not come to pass. World population more than doubled from 3.5 billion in the 1960s to 7.7 billion today.

Population is also factored into global warming predictions. For example, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s RCP 8.5 climate modeling scenario, often called the “worst-case,” projects global population hitting 12 billion by 2100.

Experts have increasingly begun to question the likelihood of a “worst-case” global warming scenario, including one 2018 study that called RCP 8.5 “exceptionally unlikely.”, 17 June 2019

Arno's commentary

One thing becomes clear: the world’s experts have more often been wrong than right. The article rightly states, “predictions of ecological calamity, along with mass famine, due to overpopulation have not come to pass.”

The fact is that communist China, an increasingly prosperous nation producing more millionaires than any other country, is expected to lose a large volume of their population in the not-too-distant future. Apparently, the issue boils down to the national economy. To what extent prosperity takes over, the birth rate will go down.

For us as believers, Psalm 127:3-5 is valid: “Lo, children are an heritage of the Lord: and the fruit of the womb is his reward. As arrows are in the hand of a mighty man; so are children of the youth. Happy is the man that hath his quiver full of them: they shall not be ashamed, but they shall speak with the enemies in the gate.”

Arno Froese is the executive director of Midnight Call Ministries and editor-in-chief of the acclaimed prophetic magazines Midnight Call and News From Israel. He has authored a number of well-received books, and has sponsored many prophecy conferences in the U.S., Canada, and Israel. His extensive travels have contributed to his keen insight into Bible prophecy, as he sees it from an international perspective.

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