WORLD - Next Pandemic in 59 Years

Arno Froese

The Covid pandemic has proved to be the deadliest viral outbreak the world has seen for more than a century—so it is tempting to hope we will be spared another such crisis in our lifetimes.

But scientists have crunched the numbers—and it’s bad news for anyone who is in their early 20s or younger.

A team of US and Italian researchers have calculated that a major epidemic on a scale similar to Covid is due within the next 59 years—by 2080 at the latest.

It means that, based on average UK life expectancy, anyone under 24 will almost certainly have to live through another huge health disaster. The researchers warned it could happen far sooner than that.

Researchers looked back at the new disease outbreaks over the past 400 years and found that epidemics are not as rare as first thought.

The study looked at the scale and frequency of disease outbreaks going back to 1600, including plague, smallpox, cholera, typhus and novel influenza viruses, and found patterns that give hints about when a similar-scale event will happen again.

Based on the increasing rate at which novel pathogens such as Sars, Mers and Covid have broken loose in human populations in the past 50 years, the study estimates that the probability of outbreaks is likely to grow three-fold in the next few decades.

With this growing risk factor, the researchers estimate that a pandemic similar in scale to Covid is likely within a span of 59 years.

[Scientists have] called for more to be done to anticipate future outbreaks and prepare for large scale epidemics capable of killing millions of people.

“Understanding that pandemics aren’t so rare should raise the priority of efforts to prevent and control them in the future,” said Dr. William Pan of Duke University., 23 August 2021

Arno's Commentary

These words sound almost prophetic: “future outbreaks …killing millions of people.” 

What does the Bible say? We read in Revelation 16:13-14: “And I saw three unclean spirits like frogs come out of the mouth of the dragon, and out of the mouth of the beast, and out of the mouth of the false prophet. For they are the spirits of devils, working miracles, which go forth unto the kings of the earth and of the whole world, to gather them to the battle of that great day of God Almighty.” That occurs after the sixth angel poured out his vial of wrath. It’s the beginning of Armageddon, as verse 16 reads: “And he gathered them together into a place called in the Hebrew tongue Armageddon.” It is the final confrontation between the powers of darkness and the power of light. Because light is stronger than darkness, the battle is already decided. “And then shall that Wicked be revealed, whom the Lord shall consume with the spirit of his mouth, and shall destroy with the brightness of his coming” (2 Thessalonians 2:8).

Arno Froese is the executive director of Midnight Call Ministries and editor-in-chief of the acclaimed prophetic magazines Midnight Call and News From Israel. He has authored a number of well-received books, and has sponsored many prophecy conferences in the U.S., Canada, and Israel. His extensive travels have contributed to his keen insight into Bible prophecy, as he sees it from an international perspective.

Read more from this author

ContactAbout UsPrivacy and Safety